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Politics, politics, politics (so long and thanks for all the fish)

What are you wholly disagreeing with? I am unclear.

My point re: Putin is that he has long seen the potential to divide allies for a long time, and has absolutely gone about ensuring that we are exactly where we are today; a continent divided, and now a continent whose huge post-war ally has decided to up sticks and park with others. He saw the 'response' to Donbas, and absolutely knew the conditions could be 'encouraged'.
Brexit was a huge, huge part of all this. Seperating the UK from Central Europe. Making sure that the fissures become chasms. Ensuring too that a populist got into the US hot-seat to plant seeds there. Ensuring further that populism took root in some European countries as a fallout from Brexit.

The inactivity of Europe and the European Union was already calculated by Putin IMO, as there were already far-right agents in both places threatening domestic politics enough to cause tossers like Cameron to believe that referendums (rather than actual WORK in Brussels) was the way to head them off.

Trump and Putin did their dance from 2016 to 2020, when the seeds for right now were sewn. And yes, we are now where we are.

If you are disagreeing re: having businessman running our governments rather than politicians, then OK, obviously we'd simply agree to disagree.
I disagree about Brexit. In someways i think Britain feels closer to Europe now we are not controlled by the EU. We've gone from being a resentful lodger, to (hopefully) a good neighbour. I dont think we're any sense divided on things in terms of international relations beyond the Occident.

The EU isnt a factor militarily. Europe's military basis is simply the UK-French axis.
 
I disagree about Brexit. In someways i think Britain feels closer to Europe now we are not controlled by the EU. We've gone from being a resentful lodger, to (hopefully) a good neighbour. I dont think we're any sense divided on things in terms of international relations beyond the Occident.

The EU isnt a factor militarily. Europe's military basis is simply the UK-French axis.
Exactly. Russia did not influence the Brexit referendum nor was the outcome pivotal enough to Russia's foreign policy interests to even bother trying. The referendum and result was a product of long-standing growth in euro-scepticism (which BTW is not exclusive to the UK), mainly i think due to the morphing of the EC - a mutually beneficial economic arrangement between countries with similar economies, cultures and living standards, to the EU, a supranational body that also sought to remove parts of governance away from member states as well as growing to invite developing southern and Eastern European countries. There was then Cameron's decision to hold a referendum on EU membership (holding a referendum on continued EU membership was (ironically) also one of the key policies of the Lib Dems going into the coalition government also). The whole Russian angle is IMO mainly one of the things comforting for remainers to hang onto rather than accept that a significant proportion of the country did not hold the same view in good faith: people were too thick, they were deceived, it was the Russian's etc.

Something about the brexit referendum made otherwise intelligent and rational people just completely lose the plot. A respected Guardian journalist got caught up in the whole Russian angle hysteria and wrote a load of conspiracy gonads about the leave campaigns links to Russia which turned out to be untrue and she got rinsed in court by Aaron Banks as a result. Complete madness.
 
Absolutely Steff. All the superpowers interfere but Putin has immense power and reach with his control in Russia- and many of our politicians are corruptable or compromised by their own behaviour.

We know full well some on the Brexit side were got at but also many conservatives who stayed on the elites side were too.

We are on shifting sands now, anything seems possible.

Agreed my friend...anything (sadly) seems possible and there have been so many faults along the way...
 
I disagree about Brexit. In someways i think Britain feels closer to Europe now we are not controlled by the EU. We've gone from being a resentful lodger, to (hopefully) a good neighbour. I dont think we're any sense divided on things in terms of international relations beyond the Occident.

The EU isnt a factor militarily. Europe's military basis is simply the UK-French axis.

The proof is to come. I would love to be wrong. Such a shame that the 'resentful lodger' could not have sussed out a way to be a 'good neighbour' back in 2015...
 
Exactly. Russia did not influence the Brexit referendum nor was the outcome pivotal enough to Russia's foreign policy interests to even bother trying. The referendum and result was a product of long-standing growth in euro-scepticism (which BTW is not exclusive to the UK), mainly i think due to the morphing of the EC - a mutually beneficial economic arrangement between countries with similar economies, cultures and living standards, to the EU, a supranational body that also sought to remove parts of governance away from member states as well as growing to invite developing southern and Eastern European countries. There was then Cameron's decision to hold a referendum on EU membership (holding a referendum on continued EU membership was (ironically) also one of the key policies of the Lib Dems going into the coalition government also). The whole Russian angle is IMO mainly one of the things comforting for remainers to hang onto rather than accept that a significant proportion of the country did not hold the same view in good faith: people were too thick, they were deceived, it was the Russian's etc.

Something about the brexit referendum made otherwise intelligent and rational people just completely lose the plot.
A respected Guardian journalist got caught up in the whole Russian angle hysteria and wrote a load of conspiracy gonads about the leave campaigns links to Russia which turned out to be untrue and she got rinsed in court by Aaron Banks as a result. Complete madness.

I disagree. Wholeheartedly. It was a factor. Of course not the only factor, but a factor. It was well-reported what sort of nonsensical misinformation was being trumpted across various platforms. I am not so sure most people actually knew what they were voting for with regards to Brexit; I believe some felt it was more about immigration issues. There were the (objectively speaking) brilliant Saatchi-esque campaigns on buses and the like which simply created an image with a number and let people's imagintion run wild (again, objectively very clever, factually bogus). It was said Cameron called the referendum ostensibly to avoid the rise of Euro-scepticism in his party and also the rise of Farage and his influence outside. I could never figure out why he gambled such an enormous decision on a referendum rather than do the hard yards, roll his sleeves upm and get into it with Brussels on the issues up for discussion. It was at best a gamble and at worst absolutely negligent with little thought to all potential possibilities and their subsequent fall-outs. I have long said Bannon saw the Brexit vote happen and knew it was 'game on' in the US. I am sure Putin was greatly encouraged too. Obviously nothing could be scripoted quite so finitely, and with such accuracy, but seeds of disinformation and division among others were being sewn for some years, and when they bore such fruit, well, we've seen the rest of the story...

Where I do agree is in that last bold-faced line. Yes indeed, otherwise intelligent and rational people did just about completely lose the plot...where I suspect we might differ is who those people were! ;)
 
Exactly. Russia did not influence the Brexit referendum nor was the outcome pivotal enough to Russia's foreign policy interests to even bother trying. The referendum and result was a product of long-standing growth in euro-scepticism (which BTW is not exclusive to the UK), mainly i think due to the morphing of the EC - a mutually beneficial economic arrangement between countries with similar economies, cultures and living standards, to the EU, a supranational body that also sought to remove parts of governance away from member states as well as growing to invite developing southern and Eastern European countries. There was then Cameron's decision to hold a referendum on EU membership (holding a referendum on continued EU membership was (ironically) also one of the key policies of the Lib Dems going into the coalition government also). The whole Russian angle is IMO mainly one of the things comforting for remainers to hang onto rather than accept that a significant proportion of the country did not hold the same view in good faith: people were too thick, they were deceived, it was the Russian's etc.

Something about the brexit referendum made otherwise intelligent and rational people just completely lose the plot. A respected Guardian journalist got caught up in the whole Russian angle hysteria and wrote a load of conspiracy gonads about the leave campaigns links to Russia which turned out to be untrue and she got rinsed in court by Aaron Banks as a result. Complete madness.

Wasn’t this thrown out of court and the journalist acquitted?

The play book for the Banks legal action a well used Oligarch technique to silence free journalism by making it impossible for journalists to pay to defend their valid investigations.

If you look at the evidence for Banks being funding by Russia there is a very strong case. That he made very little money selling a small insurance biz. But is the biggest UK political donor ever outspending billionaire donors. With shady meetings with expelled Russian spy, the Russian ambassador, and emails shared with sweetheart offers of Russian gold mines. Everyone knows his funding was Russian born and routed via strings of off shore companies.

With the impact of funding Cambridge Analyitica and only a few percentage points to get brexit over the line, I think you can consider Russian intervention as meaningful.
 

Arron Banks loses libel action against reporter Carole Cadwalladr​



The truth is, the Ukraine war and the change in mood music towards Russian oligarchs saved this reporter. Whilst ‘in bed’ with Russian money (cough Boris) we let a number of kleptocrats stop free reporting through libel actions that journalists can not afford to defend.
 

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Arron Banks loses libel action against reporter Carole Cadwalladr​



The truth is, the Ukraine war and the change in mood music towards Russian oligarchs saved this reporter. Whilst ‘in bed’ with Russian money (cough Boris) we let a number of kleptocrats stop free reporting through libel actions that journalists can not afford to defend.
He initially lost but appealed and at the appeal court the Observer/Guardian withdrew their defence of "truth" and left the journalist on her own. She lost and set up a crowd funding page to pay Banks legal costs which she had been ordered to pay (and she claimed would have otherwise bankrupted her)
 
Wasn’t this thrown out of court and the journalist acquitted?

The play book for the Banks legal action a well used Oligarch technique to silence free journalism by making it impossible for journalists to pay to defend their valid investigations.

If you look at the evidence for Banks being funding by Russia there is a very strong case. That he made very little money selling a small insurance biz. But is the biggest UK political donor ever outspending billionaire donors. With shady meetings with expelled Russian spy, the Russian ambassador, and emails shared with sweetheart offers of Russian gold mines. Everyone knows his funding was Russian born and routed via strings of off shore companies.

With the impact of funding Cambridge Analyitica and only a few percentage points to get brexit over the line, I think you can consider Russian intervention as meaningful.
No, it wasn't thrown out of court and actually there is no evidence of Banks being funded by Russia. There were complaints made to the electoral commission about Vote Leave funding. The electoral commission found initially that they had broken campaign funding rules and referred Vote Leave and BeLeave (a youth Brexit campaign) to the NCA for a full criminal investigation. Banks and others accused took the EC to court over their action and Banks jointly took the Guardian/Observer and the journalist breaking the story that resulted in the EC investigation to court for defamation. The legal actions were paused to allow the criminal investigation to proceed. The NCA announced there would be no charges as they had found no evidence of wrong doing. The EC subsequently withdrew their investigation findings and settled damages with Vote Leave and BeLeave campaign members out of court. The Guardian/Observer dropped their "truth" defence in the defamation case but maintained a "public interest" defence in that they while the story had subsequently been proven to be untrue there was a public interest in printing the accusations and covering the investigation. The problem the journalist had is that she continued to make public claims about Russian funding and breaking of electoral law after the NCA investigation rubbished them and while she won an initial court case based on her "public interest" defence (the court rejected her continued "truth" defence), Banks legal team appealed and the appeal court found the initial judge had incorrectly applied the law and the public interest defence fell away the moment the NCA announced they'd found no evidence of foreign involvement or breaking of election rules. All of the journalists public claims made on social media accounts and in a broadcast Ted Talk were ruled to be defamatory and she was ordered to pay Banks compensation and the majority of his legal costs.
 
No, it wasn't thrown out of court and actually there is no evidence of Banks being funded by Russia.
How do you explain the meetings with the Russian ambassador?

The meeting with (now expelled) Russian Spy?

The verified leaked emails that Banks admitted to, where Russia are offering gold mines to Banks!!!

Come on”no evidence”!

There were complaints made to the electoral commission about Vote Leave funding. The electoral commission found initially that they had broken campaign funding rules and referred Vote Leave and BeLeave (a youth Brexit campaign) to the NCA for a full criminal investigation. Banks and others accused took the EC to court over their action and Banks jointly took the Guardian/Observer and the journalist breaking the story that resulted in the EC investigation to court for defamation. The legal actions were paused to allow the criminal investigation to proceed. The NCA announced there would be no charges as they had found no evidence of wrong doing. The EC subsequently withdrew their investigation findings and settled damages with Vote Leave and BeLeave campaign members out of court. The Guardian/Observer dropped their "truth" defence in the defamation case but maintained a "public interest" defence in that they while the story had subsequently been proven to be untrue there was a public interest in printing the accusations and covering the investigation. The problem the journalist had is that she continued to make public claims about Russian funding and breaking of electoral law after the NCA investigation rubbished them and while she won an initial court case based on her "public interest" defence (the court rejected her continued "truth" defence), Banks legal team appealed and the appeal court found the initial judge had incorrectly applied the law and the public interest defence fell away the moment the NCA announced they'd found no evidence of foreign involvement or breaking of election rules. All of the journalists public claims made on social media accounts and in a broadcast Ted Talk were ruled to be defamatory and she was ordered to pay Banks compensation and the majority of his legal costs.

Just because someone has more money than someone else should they be able to manipulate the justice system?
 
How do you explain the meetings with the Russian ambassador?

The meeting with (now expelled) Russian Spy?

The verified leaked emails that Banks admitted to, where Russia are offering gold mines to Banks!!!

Come on”no evidence”!



Just because someone has more money than someone else should they be able to manipulate the justice system?
The NCA looked into it all and (their words) found "no evidence". Not "allegations unproven" they used the words "no evidence" hence why all the civil cases fell apart (as civil law has a lower evidence burden "balance of probabilities" rather than "beyond reasonable doubt" it would have been possible for the electoral commission findings to be upheld and defamation case to have been won if the NCA hadn't used such strong language in dismissing the allegations. By stating that there was "no evidence" they basically destroyed the civil law case against the Leave campaigns and Banks as well as any criminal allegations.

If you want to believe the NCA were bribed to come to their conclusion then it's a free country.
 
The NCA looked into it all and (their words) found "no evidence". Not "allegations unproven" they used the words "no evidence" hence why all the civil cases fell apart (as civil law has a lower evidence burden "balance of probabilities" rather than "beyond reasonable doubt" it would have been possible for the electoral commission findings to be upheld and defamation case to have been won if the NCA hadn't used such strong language in dismissing the allegations. By stating that there was "no evidence" they basically destroyed the civil law case against the Leave campaigns and Banks as well as any criminal allegations.

If you want to believe the NCA were bribed to come to their conclusion then it's a free country.
No I just look at the - all be it circumstantial - evidence myself and draw my own conclusions. I look at the real meetings with Russian government agents. The verified emails offering sweetheart deals on gold mines. The amount of money Banks made from the sale of his company (relatively little). And the totally disproportionate donations making him the UK biggest ever political donor….and I draw my own conclusions. I also speak to people who have some knowledge of these things and they tell me that through off shore accounts it is widely accepted that Russian money funded Banks huge support of Leave. Just because it can’t be proven with a direct bank transfer from the Kremlin doesn’t mean it didn’t happen. And with the very blatant smoking guns of meetings, emails and financial logic, you can draw your own conclusions too.
 
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Just because someone has more money than someone else should they be able to manipulate the justice system?

That's pretty much how legal systems always work.

Except the odd quirk of people just above the legal aid threshold being in conflict with people who are eligible for legal aid, in which case the latter just bleed the former into submission.
 
A respected Guardian journalist got caught up in the whole Russian angle hysteria and wrote a load of conspiracy gonads about the leave campaigns links to Russia which turned out to be untrue and she got rinsed in court by Aaron Banks as a result. Complete madness.


She didn't get 'rinsed' by Banks.

The initial court findings were in her favour that at the time it was a fair position to hold, the appeal court found that she should have removed the allegation after the findings of an investigation. She was found liable for costs but not for damages.
 
A letter from the King for a state visit is our gift to Trump?!

Pweeease Donald, don't pull my tie again.
Will you be my fweennnddd? Pretty please.

fudging embarrassing
 
She didn't get 'rinsed' by Banks.

The initial court findings were in her favour that at the time it was a fair position to hold, the appeal court found that she should have removed the allegation after the findings of an investigation. She was found liable for costs but not for damages.
She was ordered to pay legal costs of £1.2 million. Court ordered her to issue an apology and delete all material making the claims. It is likely that Banks' wealth and lack of evidence that her actions had caused him financial loss saved her from a financial damages award but she was certainly rinsed by Banks. If an average earner being ordered by a court to pay someone about x3 or x4 times the value or everything they actually own isn't getting rinsed in court I don't know what is. The court was about as lenient as they could be in law and the judgement still left her facing bankruptcy several times over (her words).

As to the initial court findings, they did not find her position to be reasonably held at the time, the court agreed with her legal team's argument that although her claims were untrue and not reasonably held, they were made within an echo chamber of her own followers who largely already held a dim view of Banks and leave campaigners and therefore they didn't cause any reputational damage (which is a key test to prove defamation). The appeal court overturned that decision stating the trial judge made a serious error in law and it would set a dangerous precedent if the "echo chamber" defence was allowed to stand.
 
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